kefas
Open the board

Lithuanian books are slower than Pinnacle. That gap is your profit.

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Live board
Houston Astros — Atlanta Braves
MLB
olybet
1.50
Pro
Houston Astros — Atlanta Braves
MLB
olybet
1.77
Pro
AD Cali — Cucuta Deportivo FC
Primera A
7bet
3.80
Pro
Houston Astros — Atlanta Braves
MLB
olybet
2.47
Pro
and 2851 more →
How the number is made
01
Read the sharp line
Pinnacle takes big money and moves fast, so its price is the closest thing to the truth.
02
Strip the margin
Remove the book's built-in cut and you get the fair odds — what the bet is genuinely worth.
03
Find who overpays
Any Lithuanian book above fair odds is paying you more than the risk is worth. That is the bet.

What the edge is worth to you

An expectation, not a guarantee — variance runs both ways.

€1,000.00
40

We recommend 30–50 bets a day: the edge only shows up over volume.

5%
Avg stake (Kelly)€16.67
Monthly turnover€20,004.00
× edge 5%+€1,000.20
Expected profit / month+€1,000.20

Expect losing weeks. At a 5% edge and €16.67 stakes, a 20-bet losing run is normal and costs about €333.40 — which is why the stake is a share of the bankroll, not a fixed number.

Lithuania only

Everywhere else, winning gets you limited. Here, that is the regulator's business.

Licensed Lithuanian operators don't have unlimited discretion over who they take bets from. The Gaming Control Authority has fined operators for cutting a player's stakes without objective grounds, and the Supreme Administrative Court has backed it up: the same offer has to be available to everyone.

€15 000
Fine for unjustified stake limits
Court-backed
No unlimited discretion
Equal offer
Same terms for every player

Been limited or given a “simplified offer”? You can complain to the Gaming Control Authority. kefas keeps the timestamped record of every bet you placed and the price you were shown.

How to file →

Not legal advice — review with counsel.